W Connection vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
51.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
CON
0 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
CEN
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CON
1 - 3
NOR
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
POI
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -4 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
POL
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +4 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
ARN
2 - 2
MON
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
ARN
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
POR
1 - 3
ARN
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 0
ARN
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ARN
2 - 1
MON
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |