VVV Venlo vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
AJA
3 - 1
VVV
77%
13%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
VVV
0 - 0
VOL
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
MVV
1 - 0
VVV
48%
23%
30%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
VVV
2 - 0
GRO
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
DWS
1 - 1
VVV
49%
23%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
WIL
1 - 2
PSV
42%
22%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
FOR
1 - 3
WIL
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
WIL
0 - 1
NAC
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
FEY
0 - 2
WIL
85%
9%
6%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
WIL
3 - 0
FCB
59%
19%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |