VVV Venlo vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
BVV
3 - 2
VVV
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
VVV
4 - 0
BVO
49%
23%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
BOS
3 - 0
VVV
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 0
VVV
68%
18%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
VVV
0 - 1
GRA
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
HFC
1 - 1
GAE
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
HEL
4 - 3
HFC
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
HFC
1 - 2
FCE
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
HFC
1 - 2
BVO
47%
24%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
FCD
0 - 3
HFC
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |