VVV Venlo vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
52.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
VVV
1 - 0
RJC
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
VVV
2 - 0
SPA
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 0
VVV
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
VVV
1 - 2
VIT
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
VVV
1 - 3
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
AZA
4 - 1
ZWO
85%
10%
5%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
GAE
1 - 3
AZA
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
AZA
1 - 0
GAE
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
AZA
3 - 0
TWE
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
VOL
0 - 0
AZA
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |