VVV Venlo vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
ENS
0 - 1
VVV
64%
19%
18%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
VVV
0 - 0
FOR
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
WIL
2 - 3
VVV
53%
21%
26%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1960 |
VVV
5 - 1
ELI
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1960 |
AJA
2 - 0
VVV
65%
19%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
AZA
1 - 1
RAP
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
MVV
2 - 1
AZA
53%
21%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
AZA
0 - 0
TSV
72%
16%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1960 |
VVD
2 - 2
AZA
66%
17%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1960 |
AZA
2 - 1
DWS
68%
18%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |