VVOG vs Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VVOG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
VVO
0 - 3
DVS
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
6 - 0
VVO
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VVO
4 - 1
NUN
38%
25%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
STA
3 - 3
VVO
69%
17%
13%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
VVO
3 - 3
LEO
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
FCE
2 - 1
BVV
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
TEL
0 - 0
FCE
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
FCE
0 - 0
SPA
12%
20%
69%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
FCE
67%
20%
14%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 0
FCE
68%
19%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |