Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 4-3
VV Dos vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VV Dos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
PSV
2 - 3
VVD
72%
16%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
VVD
1 - 1
SIT
58%
21%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1966 |
SPA
2 - 0
VVD
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1966 |
VVD
0 - 2
MVV
58%
21%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1966 |
DWS
3 - 1
VVD
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
VCF
5 - 1
BAS
82%
12%
7%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
BAS
1 - 3
VCF
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1964 |
STR
5 - 2
BAS
58%
21%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1964 |
BAS
0 - 1
STR
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1964 |
SPO
1 - 0
BAS
30%
21%
49%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |