Vukovar '91 vs NK Rudes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
3º
1º
19
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
34 | 44 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 44 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 37 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 32 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 31 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 31 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 27 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 26 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 25 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 22 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 21 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
68.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
31.5% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SZE
5 - 4
VUK
36%
25%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
OPA
0 - 0
VUK
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
VUK
1 - 0
DUB
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 0
VUK
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
VUK
5 - 0
NKD
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
NK Rudes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
RUD
1 - 1
NKJ
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BIJ
1 - 0
RUD
33%
27%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ZMI
0 - 0
RUD
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RUD
1 - 2
OPA
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
DUB
1 - 0
RUD
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |