Vukovar '91 vs HNK Orijent Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
8º
2º
43
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 0
VUK
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RUD
2 - 2
VUK
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VUK
1 - 1
HDR
34%
26%
39%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
KUS
0 - 0
VUK
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VUK
0 - 1
ZMI
37%
26%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 2
RUD
27%
26%
48%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
HDR
1 - 2
ORI
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 0
KUS
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ZMI
2 - 2
ORI
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ORI
2 - 1
NKD
40%
25%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |