Vukovar '91 vs NK Opatija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
3º
1º
14
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 49 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 40 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 39 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 31 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 31 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 31 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 29 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 28 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 24 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 24 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 23 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 14 |
12º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
83% | 11% |
|
Mid-table
|
17% | 89% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
DUB
1 - 2
VUK
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
VUK
2 - 0
HNK
69%
19%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NKD
0 - 1
VUK
19%
26%
55%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VUK
3 - 0
ZRI
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
NKR
0 - 1
VUK
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
NK Opatija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
OPA
2 - 1
NKJ
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BIJ
0 - 2
OPA
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
OPA
1 - 0
RUD
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ZMI
0 - 0
OPA
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DUB
2 - 1
OPA
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |