Vukovar '91 vs Marsonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SLO
1 - 3
VUK
18%
20%
61%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
BED
0 - 1
VUK
19%
22%
59%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
VUK
1 - 0
CEP
69%
21%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
NKV
0 - 3
VUK
18%
21%
62%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
VUK
4 - 0
ZRI
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
ORI
2 - 1
MAR
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 0
ORI
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
HNK
13%
20%
68%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 3
SLA
50%
24%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 1
MAR
23%
22%
55%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |