Vukovar '91 vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
8º
2º
54
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 5
VUK
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VUK
1 - 1
DUB
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NKD
0 - 1
VUK
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VUK
3 - 1
HDR
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BIJ
2 - 1
VUK
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
HNK
3 - 2
ORI
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HNK
3 - 1
SOL
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
DUB
2 - 0
HNK
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HNK
0 - 0
NKD
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HDR
0 - 2
HNK
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |