Vukovar '91 vs NK Croatia Zmijavci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
12º
3º
36
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
POS
1 - 1
VUK
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
NKO
0 - 4
VUK
9%
16%
75%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HNS
1 - 1
VUK
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PEC
1 - 2
VUK
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NKD
1 - 2
VUK
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
NK Croatia Zmijavci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ZMI
1 - 0
NKJ
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
DUB
2 - 1
ZMI
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ZMI
1 - 1
BIJ
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ZMI
4 - 1
NKD
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
NKR
1 - 0
ZMI
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |