Vukovar '91 vs NK Croatia Zmijavci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
12º
3º
36
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
1 - 1
VUK
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VUK
3 - 2
BIJ
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VUK
0 - 1
NKJ
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DUB
1 - 2
VUK
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VUK
1 - 1
ZMI
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
NK Croatia Zmijavci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ORI
1 - 1
ZMI
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ZMI
0 - 0
ZRI
27%
28%
45%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HNS
2 - 1
ZMI
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
ZMI
2 - 1
SOL
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VUK
1 - 1
ZMI
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |