Vukovar '91 vs NK Croatia Zmijavci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
12º
3º
36
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
1 - 1
VUK
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VUK
3 - 2
BIJ
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VUK
0 - 1
NKJ
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DUB
1 - 2
VUK
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VUK
1 - 1
ZMI
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
NK Croatia Zmijavci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ORI
1 - 1
ZMI
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ZMI
0 - 0
ZRI
27%
28%
45%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HNS
2 - 1
ZMI
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
ZMI
2 - 1
SOL
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VUK
1 - 1
ZMI
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |