Vukovar '91 vs Bijelo Brdo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
12º
3º
34
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 0
VUK
19%
26%
55%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VUK
2 - 0
ZMI
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
1 - 1
VUK
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VUK
3 - 2
BIJ
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VUK
0 - 1
NKJ
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bijelo Brdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
BIJ
2 - 1
NKR
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NKJ
1 - 3
BIJ
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BIJ
2 - 0
NKR
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VUK
3 - 2
BIJ
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BIJ
2 - 2
HNK
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |