Vukovar '91 vs Belisce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
VUK
1 - 0
BED
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CEP
1 - 0
VUK
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
VUK
3 - 0
NKV
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ZRI
0 - 0
VUK
36%
23%
42%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
NKK
0 - 5
VUK
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Belisce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
NKK
1 - 2
BEL
17%
19%
64%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BEL
6 - 0
NKS
84%
10%
5%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SLA
0 - 2
BEL
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BEL
3 - 0
VAL
50%
23%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SLO
0 - 1
BEL
9%
15%
77%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |