VSF Amern vs Nievenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
49.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VSF Amern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
VFL
1 - 2
VSA
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
VSA
0 - 1
SPV
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VOH
1 - 2
VSA
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
RAT
2 - 0
VSA
53%
20%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FCV
1 - 3
VSA
46%
22%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nievenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ASM
6 - 0
NIE
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
NIE
2 - 0
VFL
71%
16%
14%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SPV
1 - 0
NIE
30%
21%
49%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NIE
1 - 1
VOH
38%
22%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
RAT
2 - 3
NIE
33%
21%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |