VSE St. Polten vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VSE St. Polten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1991 |
VOR
4 - 0
VSE
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1991 |
VSE
2 - 1
VIE
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1991 |
KRE
1 - 1
VSE
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1991 |
VSE
2 - 2
RAP
25%
27%
49%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1991 |
RBS
3 - 0
VSE
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
STR
1 - 0
LBN
64%
23%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1991 |
AUS
5 - 0
STR
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
3 - 1
STR
58%
23%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1991 |
STR
0 - 2
VOR
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1991 |
VIE
1 - 1
STR
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |