VRAEM vs Miguel Grau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
71.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VRAEM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CDV
2 - 0
VRA
38%
22%
40%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VRA
3 - 0
CAN
21%
23%
56%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 0
VRA
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VRA
2 - 1
CDV
26%
20%
53%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 2
VRA
64%
18%
18%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Miguel Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 0
DCE
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 5
GRA
9%
17%
74%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
CHA
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DCE
1 - 2
GRA
22%
20%
58%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 2
VRA
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |