VPS Vaasa vs AC Oulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
6º
6º
21
8º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
INT
1 - 5
VAA
13%
17%
70%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 0
VAA
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 1
ILV
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
EKE
1 - 2
VAA
18%
23%
60%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
VAA
3 - 1
INT
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AC Oulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
OUL
5 - 1
KAP
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
OUL
2 - 2
FCL
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
KUO
4 - 1
OUL
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
OUL
1 - 0
HJK
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
HAK
4 - 3
OUL
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |