VPS Vaasa vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
6º
3º
45
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
54 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
56 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 4 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KUO
3 - 1
VAA
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 3
HJK
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 0
VAA
22%
24%
55%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAA
3 - 2
HAK
45%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SEI
3 - 1
VAA
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HJK
2 - 2
SEI
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 3
HJK
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
HJK
2 - 1
KLA
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 0
INT
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
KLA
2 - 2
HJK
29%
23%
48%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |