Paulista A3 Etapas finales Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Votuporanguense vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Votuporanguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 2
VOT
48%
26%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
VOT
3 - 1
PRI
54%
25%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
VOT
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
VOT
1 - 0
OLI
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
DES
2 - 2
VOT
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 2
VOT
48%
26%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 1
MAR
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
NOR
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
COM
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
JOS
0 - 0
MAR
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |