Cup Paulista Eliminatorias Semi-finals
First-leg 0-1
Votuporanguense vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Votuporanguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
VOT
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VOT
2 - 0
CAP
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 1
VOT
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VOT
2 - 0
FRA
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 2
VOT
17%
25%
58%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
VOT
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
XVD
1 - 2
POR
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
XVD
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
SAO
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 0
POR
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |