Vostok vs Shakhter Karagandy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
50.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vostok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
AKZ
0 - 0
VOS
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
ORD
4 - 1
VOS
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
VOS
1 - 1
KAI
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
TOB
3 - 0
VOS
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
VOS
1 - 0
TAR
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 0
BAT
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
SHA
3 - 0
ORD
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
BAT
0 - 1
SHA
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
KAI
1 - 1
SHA
30%
30%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
SHA
2 - 0
TOB
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |