FC Vorwärts Berlin vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vorwärts Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1961 |
GLA
4 - 1
VOW
51%
21%
28%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1961 |
VOW
2 - 1
SED
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1961 |
VOW
1 - 2
GLA
67%
18%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
VOW
1 - 1
SAC
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
ZWI
3 - 0
VOW
33%
24%
43%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
BWA
0 - 0
ABS
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
BWA
3 - 0
ZWI
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1961 |
LOK
2 - 1
BWA
47%
24%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
BWA
3 - 0
ROS
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1961 |
ERF
3 - 3
BWA
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |