FC Vorwärts Berlin vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vorwärts Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
ABS
2 - 0
VOW
64%
18%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
BFC
4 - 0
VOW
37%
22%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
VOW
1 - 1
LOK
71%
16%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
ERF
3 - 2
VOW
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
VOW
2 - 2
CHE
90%
7%
3%
|
81 | 32 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
BWA
1 - 0
BFC
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
BWA
2 - 2
ERF
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
CHE
1 - 1
BWA
12%
19%
70%
|
81 | 33 | 48 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
BWA
5 - 0
ROS
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
SED
3 - 1
BWA
57%
20%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |