Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs FC Türkiye Wilhelmsburg Aca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.7%
14.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+190%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
13º
12º
14
6º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
23 | 79 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 78 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 64 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 61 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 59 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 58 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 54 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 53 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 43 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
7 | 42 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 38 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 27 |
16º
|
25% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 22 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 21 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ETH
9 - 1
VOW
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VOW
7 - 2
HAM
80%
11%
9%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 1
VOW
36%
22%
42%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VOW
1 - 4
DAS
17%
19%
64%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WAN
3 - 4
VOW
29%
21%
50%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Türkiye Wilhelmsburg Aca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
4 - 0
ATB
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
THA
2 - 2
WIL
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 2
NIE
22%
19%
59%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HEB
1 - 3
WIL
72%
15%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 3
ALT
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |