Vorwarts Steyr vs Austria Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
73.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vorwarts Steyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
STF
1 - 0
VOR
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
VOR
1 - 1
KAP
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
VOR
1 - 2
STU
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SVL
5 - 0
VOR
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
VOR
3 - 1
ALL
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
SCA
2 - 1
PAR
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
SCA
4 - 0
MAT
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
ALT
0 - 0
SCA
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
SCA
3 - 3
FCL
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
KAP
1 - 3
SCA
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |