Vorskla Poltava vs Obolon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
6º
16º
8º
2
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
15 | 59 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 58 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 55 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 50 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 47 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 47 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 41 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 38 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 33 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 31 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 30 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 30 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 27 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 23 |
16º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 71.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vorskla Poltava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 3
VOR
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VOR
0 - 5
SHA
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 1
POL
82%
12%
6%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HSP
3 - 1
VOR
8%
18%
74%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 1
VOR
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Obolon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
OBO
0 - 4
RYV
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
OBO
2 - 2
KOL
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
OBO
5 - 2
FCV
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
OBO
2 - 1
FKC
72%
19%
10%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
OBO
2 - 0
LNZ
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |