Vorskla Poltava II vs Lokomotiv Kyiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
69.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+383%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
9º
9º
17
4º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 39 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 33 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 31 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 30 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 27 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 25 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 24 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 20 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 13 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 10 |
10º
|
88.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vorskla Poltava II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 2
HSP
13%
19%
68%
|
16 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
VOR
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 58 | 42 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
VOR
0 - 1
FKC
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 0
VOR
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VOR
2 - 1
OLE
29%
21%
49%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 1
FCL
57%
22%
22%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
3 - 0
NYV
24%
24%
53%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MKI
2 - 3
FCL
12%
16%
72%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HSP
1 - 0
FCL
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 0
CHA
23%
25%
52%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | +2 |