Vorsfelde vs Hannoverscher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
10º
17º
17º
35
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 59 |
1º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 57 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 53 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 46 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 45 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 35 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 29 |
18º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 77.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
88% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vorsfelde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 2
VOR
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 0
MEC
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BSV
1 - 1
VOR
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VOR
0 - 2
ADF
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EIB
1 - 1
VOR
56%
21%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hannoverscher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HSC
6 - 1
VER
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 3
HSC
40%
23%
37%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HSC
4 - 0
SVM
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
4 - 1
HSC
67%
17%
16%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HSC
1 - 3
TUB
21%
21%
59%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |