Volvic vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
74.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volvic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
VOL
4 - 2
GUE
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 1
VOL
11%
17%
72%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
SOC
3 - 0
AJA
49%
28%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
AJA
3 - 0
LUS
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 0
EXC
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 17 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
AJA
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 1
LEN
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |