Voluntas vs Ponsacco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
USP
3 - 1
VOL
69%
19%
11%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VOL
0 - 3
VFC
27%
27%
46%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
GHI
3 - 1
VOL
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VOL
2 - 5
JMO
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SCA
1 - 0
VOL
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MPO
0 - 1
GAV
52%
25%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MPO
2 - 0
JMO
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VFC
5 - 2
MPO
32%
27%
41%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MPO
1 - 0
FCV
19%
25%
56%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 0
MPO
27%
26%
47%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |