Volta Redonda vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
2º
2º
2
6º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
7 | 11 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
|
2º
|
6 | 9 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 9 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 8 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 8 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 7 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
2 | 5 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
2 | 5 |
8º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
39.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
60.5% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volta Redonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
VOL
1 - 1
REM
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
REM
0 - 0
VOL
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
VOL
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
VOL
1 - 1
AME
89%
9%
3%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VOL
3 - 1
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAO
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
51%
28%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
VOL
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
REM
2 - 1
BOT
43%
29%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
FER
55%
26%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |