Völs vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
49.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Völs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FUG
1 - 0
VOL
40%
24%
37%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
MAT
3 - 1
VOL
73%
15%
12%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VOL
3 - 1
KIT
33%
24%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 3
IMS
31%
25%
44%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
REI
3 - 2
VOL
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
KIR
1 - 2
REI
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
KIR
7 - 2
KEM
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
KIR
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
KIR
9 - 0
SVK
77%
14%
10%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
REU
1 - 2
KIR
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |