Volna Pinsk vs Niva Dolbizno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
11º
5º
55
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 77 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 73 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 69 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
5º
|
39.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 59 |
6º
|
65% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 52 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 51 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 50 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 47 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 46 |
11º
|
44% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 35 |
12º
|
59% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 34 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 30 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 29 |
15º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 25 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 23 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 22 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7% | 25% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15.5% | 30% |
|
Mid-table
|
77.5% | 45% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volna Pinsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 3
VOL
11%
15%
74%
|
55 | 9 | 46 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ZOR
1 - 4
VOL
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
TZH
1 - 1
VOL
14%
21%
66%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VOL
0 - 4
BEL
51%
23%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FBG
1 - 2
VOL
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Niva Dolbizno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2024 |
POL
0 - 14
FCN
9%
12%
79%
|
54 | 17 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FCN
7 - 1
TZH
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 3
FCN
39%
23%
37%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 3
FBG
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ABF
1 - 2
FCN
10%
16%
75%
|
53 | 15 | 38 | 0 |