Volga Novgorod vs Spartak Nalchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volga Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
KRS
1 - 0
VNN
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VNN
1 - 2
PER
48%
28%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VNN
1 - 0
FCR
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
ZEN
3 - 0
VNN
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VNN
0 - 2
KRA
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NAL
3 - 0
TER
46%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
KRA
3 - 2
NAL
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
NAL
2 - 1
PER
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
CSK
4 - 0
NAL
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
NAL
1 - 2
LOK
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |