Voghera vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
VOG
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VOG
6 - 0
BOR
30%
26%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +3 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
FEZ
0 - 3
VOG
20%
20%
59%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PIN
0 - 1
VOG
33%
22%
44%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
VOG
1 - 1
LIG
61%
21%
19%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DER
3 - 0
SET
18%
24%
58%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SES
2 - 0
DER
74%
18%
7%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
DER
2 - 2
GOZ
17%
25%
58%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ACQ
0 - 3
DER
70%
19%
10%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DER
1 - 2
BEL
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |