Voghera vs Borgaro Nobis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
9º
18º
11º
6
6º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
12º
|
4 | 74 |
1º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 72 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 69 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 67 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 64 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 64 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 63 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 60 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 60 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 57 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
1 | 56 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
6 | 49 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 46 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 44 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 44 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 43 |
16º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 37 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 32 |
18º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 31 |
19º
|
20% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 24 |
20º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
22.5% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
65.5% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 25.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LIG
1 - 0
VOG
56%
23%
22%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VOG
2 - 2
ASD
35%
27%
38%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VOG
2 - 1
SNR
27%
25%
48%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ASD
0 - 0
VOG
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VOG
2 - 2
ABN
33%
23%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Borgaro Nobis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 1
GOZ
26%
23%
52%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAI
2 - 1
BOR
11%
16%
74%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
BOR
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BOR
1 - 2
LAV
33%
24%
44%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 1
BOR
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |