Voghera vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
66.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CUN
1 - 1
VOG
76%
17%
8%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VOG
0 - 0
BOR
30%
26%
44%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
BUS
2 - 3
VOG
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VOG
1 - 2
FOL
33%
27%
40%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
VOG
1 - 1
GOZ
48%
25%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
BOR
0 - 0
VAR
13%
23%
64%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VAR
4 - 5
INV
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 2
VAR
13%
23%
64%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 2
CUN
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 0
VER
84%
12%
5%
|
60 | 18 | 42 | -1 |