VMI Keydets vs Mercer analysis


8	ELO	21
0.4%	Tilt	0.6%
44838º	General ELO ranking	43552º
704º	Country ELO ranking	569º
ELO win probability

8.2%

VMI Keydets

14.2%

Draw

77.5%

Mercer

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

8.2%

Win probability

0.75

Expected goals

4-0

<0%

5-1

<0%

+4

0.1%

3-0

0.2%

4-1

0.1%

5-2

<0%

+3

0.4%

2-0

1%

3-1

0.6%

4-2

0.2%

5-3

<0%

+2

1.8%

1-0

2.6%

2-1

2.5%

3-2

0.8%

4-3

0.1%

5-4

<0%

+1

6%

14.2%

Draw

0-0

3.4%

1-1

6.7%

2-2

3.3%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

0

14.2%

77.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%