Vlora vs Himara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vlora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ELB
3 - 1
VLO
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
MAM
2 - 0
VLO
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VLO
1 - 3
KUK
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ADA
2 - 1
VLO
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
VLO
0 - 0
GRA
46%
24%
31%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Himara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
HIM
2 - 3
MAM
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
KUK
2 - 0
HIM
75%
16%
8%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
HIM
1 - 1
ADA
28%
27%
45%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
HIM
65%
21%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
HIM
3 - 2
GRA
29%
27%
44%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |