Vlora vs Gramozi Ersekë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vlora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
GRA
3 - 0
VLO
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
VLO
1 - 1
ILI
49%
23%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BES
2 - 1
VLO
72%
19%
8%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VLO
2 - 1
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
DIN
3 - 0
VLO
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Gramozi Ersekë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 0
MAM
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
KUK
1 - 0
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 1
ADA
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ELB
2 - 0
GRA
55%
22%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
APO
3 - 1
GRA
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |