UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 2-6
Vllaznia vs Nea Salamis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2000 |
NEA
4 - 1
VLZ
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2000 |
VLZ
1 - 2
ELB
74%
18%
9%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
APO
2 - 0
VLZ
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
VLZ
3 - 0
LUS
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
SHK
2 - 1
VLZ
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nea Salamis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2000 |
NEA
4 - 1
VLZ
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
NEA
3 - 1
APO
38%
24%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
ALK
0 - 9
NEA
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
NEA
2 - 1
ENO
57%
22%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
AEL
0 - 3
NEA
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |