Vizela vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vizela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
RIO
2 - 1
VIZ
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
VIZ
0 - 0
TRO
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
EST
2 - 0
VIZ
46%
26%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
VIZ
1 - 0
FEI
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
LEX
2 - 0
VIZ
59%
24%
18%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
TRO
2 - 0
VAR
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
VAR
2 - 1
EST
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
FEI
2 - 2
VAR
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
VAR
1 - 1
LEX
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 1
VAR
45%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |