Vittoriosa Stars vs Mqabba FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
22.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
4º
10º
9º
6
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 14 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 14 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 14 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vittoriosa Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MTA
0 - 0
VIT
47%
21%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 4
MAR
26%
23%
52%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 0
FUN
16%
21%
64%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +3 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LIJ
4 - 3
VIT
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mqabba FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MQA
1 - 3
SAN
14%
19%
67%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 0
MQA
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
MTA
2 - 1
MQA
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MQA
1 - 2
MAR
23%
22%
55%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
5 - 0
MQA
56%
23%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |