Vittoria vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vittoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
0 - 1
USC
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 0
VIT
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 0
COM
29%
27%
44%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ACS
1 - 1
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
GRO
0 - 1
PIS
40%
27%
32%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 0
GRO
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
GRO
0 - 0
ACS
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ACP
0 - 2
GRO
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
PON
1 - 0
GRO
39%
23%
39%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |