Vittoria vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
43.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vittoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
SAS
1 - 0
VIT
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 0
FRO
22%
26%
52%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 1
ASL
33%
28%
39%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PIS
2 - 0
VIT
63%
23%
15%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 2
ACL
30%
28%
42%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
NOV
0 - 0
PIS
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
USC
3 - 0
NOV
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 0
FRO
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ACI
2 - 1
NOV
39%
29%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
NOV
0 - 2
ASL
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |