Vittoria vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vittoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PIS
2 - 0
VIT
63%
23%
15%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 2
ACL
30%
28%
42%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 1
VIT
60%
24%
16%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
VIT
1 - 3
MAN
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 0
VIT
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 1
SPE
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
NOV
0 - 2
ASL
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ASL
1 - 1
PRO
37%
29%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
SAS
3 - 0
ASL
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ASL
1 - 2
PAV
42%
28%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |