Vitry vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
68.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
USB
1 - 2
ORL
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
CAB
1 - 0
USB
36%
27%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
USB
0 - 0
PFC
69%
20%
10%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
FCR
3 - 1
USB
33%
28%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
USB
5 - 0
RED
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |